At $2,000 per month, $300,000 lasts about 18 years under our assumptions. Keep withdrawals at or below roughly $1,000 per month — the 4% rule for this balance — and the portfolio is built to outlast a 30-year retirement.
How long a lump sum lasts depends on three forces pulling against each other: how much you withdraw, how much the remaining balance earns, and how fast inflation erodes purchasing power. Withdraw less than the portfolio's inflation-adjusted growth and it can last indefinitely; withdraw more and the clock starts ticking.
The table below runs the numbers for $300,000 across realistic spending levels, assuming the money stays invested while you draw it down and that each withdrawal keeps pace with inflation.
How long $300,000 lasts at different monthly withdrawals
Monthly withdrawal
Annual withdrawal
How long it lasts
Verdict
$1,000
$12,000
60+ years
Sustainable — at or below the 4% rule
$2,000
$24,000
about 18 years
Only viable with substantial other income
$3,000
$36,000
about 11 years
Only viable with substantial other income
$4,000
$48,000
about 8 years
Depletes quickly — likely too high
$5,000
$60,000
about 6 years
Depletes quickly — likely too high
$7,500
$90,000
about 4 years
Depletes quickly — likely too high
Withdrawals are inflation-adjusted (constant purchasing power) and the remaining balance keeps earning our assumed return. Withdrawals at or below about $1,000 per month (the 4% rule for this balance) are sustainable indefinitely under these assumptions.
Assumptions behind this page
Average investment return of 7% per year before inflation — roughly in line with the long-term history of a diversified stock-heavy portfolio.
Inflation of 2.5% per year. All figures are shown in today's dollars, so the inflation-adjusted ("real") return works out to about 4.4% per year.
Withdrawals rise with inflation each year so your purchasing power stays constant.
Drawdown scenarios assume a single starting balance with no further contributions or other income.
Taxes, investment fees, Social Security, pensions, and healthcare costs are not included — they can meaningfully change the picture for your situation.
Scenarios are projected up to 60 years. "60+ years" means the money was not depleted within that horizon.
Frequently asked questions
What's the most I can spend if I want $300,000 to last 30 years?
Around $1,000 per month is the classic answer — that's the 4% rule applied to $300,000, designed around a 30-year retirement. Modestly higher spending can still work for shorter horizons, as the table shows, but it narrows your margin for bad market years.
Why does the money last so much longer at slightly lower spending?
Because the remaining balance keeps compounding. Each dollar you don't withdraw earns returns that fund future withdrawals, so longevity is highly non-linear: cutting spending from $7,500 to $2,000 per month doesn't just stretch the timeline proportionally — it can multiply it.
Does this assume the money stays invested?
Yes — the balance is assumed to earn 7% per year before inflation throughout retirement. Cash sitting in a checking account would deplete much faster: $300,000 with no growth covers exactly 12 years at $2,000 per month before inflation is even considered.
How does inflation factor into these numbers?
Every withdrawal in the projection rises with inflation (2.5% per year) so your purchasing power stays level, and the growth figures are inflation-adjusted. That makes these durations more conservative — and more realistic — than naive division.
What could make the money run out faster than this?
A market downturn early in retirement, large one-off expenses (healthcare is the usual culprit), withdrawal rates that creep upward, or higher-than-expected inflation. Holding a cash buffer and being willing to trim spending in bad years are the standard mitigations.
Run this drawdown with your own numbers
Open the calculator with $300,000 and a $2,000/month withdrawal prefilled, then adjust the spending, returns, and timeline to match your plan.
Disclaimer: This page is an educational estimate based on simplified assumptions, not financial advice. Market returns vary, and your taxes, fees, and personal circumstances will change the outcome. Consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before making retirement decisions.